The Weekly Update

Week of May 19th, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Tariff truce discussions tame markets

Stocks roared higher last week, powered by upbeat trade news and tame inflation reports.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 5.27 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index spiked 7.15 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 3.41 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, increased 0.80 percent.

S&P, Dow Erase YTD Losses
Stocks pushed higher on Monday as investors cheered weekend news that the U.S. and China temporarily agreed to back off steep reciprocal tariffs.

Then, a mild inflation report for April—the slowest annualized Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading in four years—boosted markets on Tuesday. Tech stocks powered the rally as the S&P 500 closed trading in the green for the year.

Markets closed the week with modest gains, largely looking past weak consumer sentiment data released on Friday.

Friday was the Dow’s turn to erase year-to-date losses and get back in the green while the Nasdaq and S&P notched a five-day winning streak.

All Eyes on Economic Data
The retail (CPI) and wholesale inflation reports (Producer Price Index) were mild, although most economists didn’t expect tariffs to impact prices in the first month of implementation.

Retail sales ticked up slightly (as expected), while industrial production and housing starts showed signs of tariff impact.
Expect traders to continue to closely watch economic reports to better understand whether tariffs are showing up in the data.

This Week: Key Economic Data
Monday: New York Fed President John Williams, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan, and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speak. Leading Economic Indicators. E-Commerce Retail Sales.
Tuesday: Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, Raphael Bostic, and Fed Governor Adriana Kugler speak. Financial Markets Conference.
Wednesday: Thomas Barkin speaks. 20-Year Treasury Bond Auction.
Thursday: Existing Home Sales. Jobless Claims (weekly). PMI Composite—Services and Manufacturing. John Williams speaks. Fed Balance Sheet.
Friday: New Home Sales. Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid and Fed Governor Lisa Cook speak.

Source: Investor’s Business Daily – Econoday economic calendar; May 16, 2025
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.

This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Tuesday: The Home Depot, Inc. (HD), Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW)
Wednesday: The TJX Companies Inc. (TJX), Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW)
Thursday: Intuit Inc. (INTU), Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI), The Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Workday, Inc. (WDAY)

Source: Zacks, May 16, 2025
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Data collected from Investors FastTrack software.
CNBC.com, May 12, 2025
CNBC.com, May 15, 2025
Investing.com, May 16, 2025
MarketWatch.com, May 16, 2025
WSJ.com, May 13, 2025
WSJ.com, May 16, 2025

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This material is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained herein should not be construed as the provision of personalized investment advice. Information contained herein is subject to change without notice and should not be considered as a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing in the stock market involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal invested, and may not be suitable for all investors. This material contains certain forward-looking statements which indicate future possibilities. Actual results may differ materially from the expectations portrayed in such forward-looking statements. As such, there is no guarantee that any views and opinions expressed in this material will come to pass. Additionally, this material contains information derived from third party sources. Although we believe these sources to be reliable, we make no representations as to the accuracy of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party incorporated herein, and take no responsibility therefore. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the authors as of the date of publication and are subject to change without prior notice. For additional information about CTS Financial Planning, Inc. and the material posted on this website, please review our Important Disclosures.

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