taxes volatility

  • Stock market outlook highlighting Fed rate uncertainty, last week’s S&P 500 and Nasdaq declines, and major market-moving events this week such as ISM data, ADP employment, JOLTS, jobless claims, and nonfarm payrolls.

Santa Rally in Holding Pattern

2026-01-05T09:18:48-06:00January 5, 2026|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of January 5th, 2026
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks trended lower last week amid signs of year-end profit-taking and some sour investor sentiment over the Fed meeting minutes.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.03 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index lost 1.52 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 0.67 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, ticked up 0.31 percent.

Santa Rally, Interrupted
Stocks opened lower to start the shortened holiday week with tech shares under pressure. Markets then moved sideways but came under pressure after minutes from the December Federal Reserve meeting were released. Investors digested the details, which showed members remained divided.

Stocks recovered some ground on the first trading day of 2026. The tech sector was mixed, with AI chip stocks pushing higher, while other areas of technology, especially software companies, declined. Overall, the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials …

  • Weekly stock market update: Santa Claus rally begins as investors watch Fed minutes, housing data, and jobless claims.

Santa Arrives on Wall Street

2025-12-28T13:37:36-06:00December 28, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of December 29th, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks delivered for investors last week as positive economic data and bullish holiday cheer powered the start of a “Santa Claus rally” past consumer bah humbug sentiment.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.40 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 1.22 percent. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.20 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, moved ahead 1.16 percent.

AI Stock Sleigh Delivers
Stocks rallied at the start of the week, riding pre-holiday momentum as artificial intelligence (AI) related technology names continued to drive gains.

Fresh data out Tuesday initially quashed market momentum, reflecting investor concern that the stronger-than-expected Q3 economic growth might dissuade the Fed from adjusting interest rates in 2026.

But those fears appeared to subside after a Fed official said the U.S. is “way behind the curve in terms of lowering …

  • U.S. stock market navigating mixed jobs data and cooling inflation as investors monitor economic growth, Federal Reserve policy, and year-end market trends.

Jobs Data Delivers Bumpy Week

2025-12-22T10:51:21-06:00December 22, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of December 22nd, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks posted a slight gain last week as mixed jobs data triggered some selling pressure before a cooling inflation report helped stocks recover.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index inched ahead 0.10 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 0.48 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.67 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, rose 0.21 percent.

Round Trip for Stocks
A mixed jobs report on Tuesday created some concerns about the economy, leading the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials to modest declines. However, the tech-heavy Nasdaq posted a modest gain.

Stocks continued their retreat on Wednesday with a handful of AI-related names leading the decline.

Markets then staged a rebound as a fresh inflation report came in cooler than expected for November, raising investor hopes that interest rates may trend lower. The S&P 500 and Dow …

  • Mixed stock performance following a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with market leadership rotating from technology stocks into cyclical and value sectors such as financials, healthcare, and industrials.

Stocks Mixed; Fed Makes a Move

2025-12-15T11:46:52-06:00December 15, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of December 15th, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks ended last week mixed. A widely anticipated Federal Reserve decision on interest rates and a rotation into non-tech areas helped push the Dow Industrials higher, while the broader market and technology stocks lagged.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 0.63 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.62 percent. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 1.05 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, rose 0.89 percent.

Market Rotation After Fed Decision
Stocks stayed in a fairly tight trading range over the first half of the week. Tech remained a strong spot on Monday despite slight to modest declines in all three major averages.

By Tuesday’s close, all three major averages were slightly to modestly lower week-to-date as the Fed’s last interest-rate-setting meeting of the year approached.

Then, on Wednesday morning, stocks rose ahead of the …

  • U.S. stocks near record highs as investors await the Federal Reserve decision, with key events including NFIB small business optimism, JOLTS job openings, Employment Cost Index wage data, weekly jobless claims, and major earnings from AutoZone, Oracle, Adobe, Synopsys, Broadcom, and Costco.

Stocks Bumpy, Awaiting Fed Meeting

2025-12-08T10:42:35-06:00December 8, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of December 8th, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stock prices pushed higher last week, notching multiple records along the way as employment and inflation data took center stage in anticipation of the Fed’s upcoming meeting.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 0.31 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index picked up 0.91 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.50 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, added 0.72 percent.

Fed in Spotlight
Stocks fell to start the week as all three averages snapped a five-day win streak.

Megacap tech stocks then led a recovery rally, which continued its momentum midweek as ADP’s November report showed a decline in private-sector payrolls. Investors welcomed the report, believing it might prompt an interest rate adjustment at the Fed’s upcoming meeting. All three major averages posted modest gains over both Tuesday and Wednesday.

Stocks then largely went sideways, with …

  • A strong Thanksgiving rally: U.S. stocks rose on renewed AI optimism and rate-cut expectations.

Stocks Take Flight For Holiday Week

2025-12-01T10:05:51-06:00December 1, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of December 1st, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks pushed higher over the holiday week as investors’ hopes for a Fed rate adjustment drove bullish sentiment.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 3.73 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rallied 4.91 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 3.18 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, increased 3.15 percent.

AI Powered
A rebound rally began on Monday as the artificial intelligence (AI) business strategy of one of the largest megacap tech stocks reignited positive sentiment in the AI trade. The enthusiasm broadened out to a number of AI-related names, lifting the S&P 500 by 1.5 percent and the Nasdaq by 2.7 percent—its biggest one-day gain in more than six months.

Stocks rose again on Tuesday and Wednesday—the third and fourth consecutive trading days of gains, respectively, for all three major averages.

Overall bullish holiday sentiment, …

  • Markets pull back as AI valuations cool and Fed uncertainty rises, with retail sales, inflation, jobs data, and key earnings in focus during the Thanksgiving-shortened week.

AI Delivers Rocky Week for Stocks

2025-11-24T09:18:31-06:00November 24, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of November 24th, 2025
By Christopher Much, CFP®, AIF®

Heightened volatility was on Wall Street’s mind last week, as investors continued to focus on valuations of artificial intelligence (AI) stocks.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index fell 1.95 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 2.74 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 1.91 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, slumped 3.25 percent.

AI Valuation Worries
Stocks slid over the first half of the week as anticipation continued to build for Q3 results from one of the largest AI megacap tech stocks, due out midweek.

While the decline was led by megacap tech stocks, which typically drag down both the Nasdaq and S&P 500, the Dow Industrials also fell. With the government still playing catch-up on a backlog of economic reports following the shutdown, investors kept a close eye on big consumer-related stocks for insights into …

  • Dow hitting a record above 48,000, tech-sector volatility pulling on the Nasdaq and S&P, and investor shift toward value as government data reporting resumes after the shutdown.

Washington DC Resumes Business

2025-11-17T09:17:54-06:00November 17, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of November 17th, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks ended mixed after a nail-biting week for investors, who grew anxious over megacap tech valuations and interest rates as the government shutdown came to an end.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index edged up 0.08 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index slipped 0.45 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.34 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, advanced 1.63 percent.

Rotating into Value
The week began with stocks rising, fueled by hopes that the longest-ever government shutdown could soon end as a federal funding bill moved closer to Congressional approval. Building on these early gains, the Nasdaq advanced more than 2 percent and the S&P 500 added 1½ percent.

Stocks rose at the opening bell on Tuesday following news that the Senate had passed a bill to end the shutdown, but sentiment quickly turned as …

  • Nasdaq and S&P 500 decline amid government shutdown concerns, mixed labor market data, and upcoming economic reports including CPI, Retail Sales, and Federal Reserve speeches for November 2025.

Tough Week for Tech Stocks

2025-11-10T11:18:41-06:00November 10, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of November 10th, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks hit a rough patch last week as fresh labor market data, low consumer sentiment, and the ongoing government shutdown unnerved investors.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 1.63 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 3.04 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.21 percent. The MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, edged down 0.83 percent.

Nasdaq’s Toughest Week Since April
Stocks started the week mixed. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq each rose modestly, while the Dow Industrials fell.

Markets stabilized midweek after an ADP jobs report showed stronger-than-expected hiring by private employers in October. The report buoyed investor sentiment, pushing all three major averages higher.

However, stocks fell as investor concerns over stock valuations persisted, particularly among companies related to AI. Following a well-known outplacement firm’s report of a steep increase in corporate layoffs, selling pressure …

  • S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones gains amid Federal Reserve rate cut and cautious comments from Chair Jerome Powell.

Markets Rise, Fed Cautious

2025-11-03T09:49:42-06:00November 3, 2025|Categories: Weekly Update|Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |

The Weekly Update

Week of November 3rd, 2025
By Christopher T. Much, CFP®, AIF®

Stocks rose last week as trade developments, positive Q3 corporate results, and momentum in megacap tech drove another rally, despite some cautious comments from the Fed.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index gained 0.71 percent, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index picked up 2.24 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.75 percent. By contrast, the MSCI EAFE Index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, fell 0.55 percent.

Stocks Up for Third Straight Week
Stocks rose over the first half of the week on news that Chinese and U.S. officials were working on a trade deal. Meanwhile, a rise in AI-related tech names lifted the broader market ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. All three major averages notched record closing highs for the first two days of the week, including the S&P 500 closing above 6800 for …

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